Sunday, May 1, 2011

Too Much Free Time - April Edition

As I mentioned in an earlier blog, my favorite baseball team is the Miami Florida Marlins. Before the season started, I decided that I really (I mean really) wanted to keep up with the Marlins this season. So I logged on to Microsoft Excel and created a spreadsheet which would allow me to keep track of how the Marlins are doing. Being a fan of uniforms in sports, I made this spreadsheet largely uniform based. I'll clarify that a little more once I get into my findings through the month of April.

My spreadsheet consists of six pages. The first page is just the Marlins season schedule. I update this daily with a simple "win" or "loss" and put the game score in the column next to the result. The second through fourth pages all contain the Marlins schedule as well, but they are there solely to keep track of various uniform elements. The first of those pages is there so that I can keep track of what hat the Marlins are wearing for each game of the season. This is kind of a dull element to track because, to the best of my knowledge, the Marlins only have one official game hat. They will however still be wearing the MLB "Stars and Stripes" caps for select games this season, as they've done the past three years. With the Marlins moving into a new stadium next season and changing their name (to the Miami Marlins), I wouldn't be surprised if they wore a throwback hat or two though. However, to the best of my knowledge, they are not planning on doing that.

The second of the uniform based pages has to do with the jersey the Marlins are wearing on a given day. This is a little more interesting because the Marlins have three different jerseys that they can wear. They have their traditional home white jersey, which they have worn for every home game so far this season. They have their traditional road grey jersey, which they have only worn for one series (2 games and a rain out). Like most MLB teams today, the Marlins also have an alternate jersey. In recent years, the Marlins have worn their alternate jersey for both home and away games. They seemingly wore their alternate more than both their tradtional home and away jerseys, but can't confirm what happened in the past (I'm just going on gut instinct here). However for this season, I can confirm what they are wearing! The Marlins have yet to wear their alternate at home, but have worn it for all but two of their away games.

The third uniform based page (fourth page overall) has to do with the color pants the Marlins are wearing for each game. Like with the hat, this one is pretty simple. If the Marlins are at home, they are going to be wearing their white pants with black pinstripes. If they are on the road, they are wearing their plain grey pants. Really no surprises there.

The fifth page of my spreadsheet, like the others, also contains the Marlins season schedule. On this page, I keep track of who the Marlins starting pitcher is for each game. As of this very second, the Marlins starting rotation consists of Josh Johnson (who may be the best pitcher in the Major Leagues at the moment), Ricky Nolasco, Javier Vazquez, Anibal Sanchez and Chris Volstad. Of course, as the season drags on, there will be a few other guys that make a spot start or two, but if this rotation stays healthy, they are going to have a damn good season.

The last page happens to be my favorite. This is where the magic happens. Not really, but this is where all of the data is kept track of. I keep track of the Marlins record when each element is in place. I also keep track of the number of runs scored and allowed when each element is in place as well. So without furthur adieu, let's take a look at how the Marlins are doing through the first month (25 games) of the regular season.

Overall
Games Played: 25
Record: 16-9
Runs Scored: 109 (average of 4.36 per game)
Runs Allowed: 93 (3.72/game)

Black Hat
Games: 25
Record: 16-9
Runs Scored: 109 (4.36/game)
Runs Allowed: 93 (3.72/game)

White Jersey
Games: 15
Record: 10-5
Runs Scored: 70 (4.67/game)
Runs Allowed: 51 (3.40/game)

Grey Jersey
Games: 2
Record: 1-1
Runs Scored: 6 (3.00/game)
Runs Allowed: 6 (3.00/game)

Black Jersey
Games: 8
Record: 5-3
Runs Scored: 33 (4.13/game)
Runs Allowed: 36 (4.50/game)

White Pants
Games: 15
Record: 10-5
Runs Scored: 70 (4.67/game)
Runs Allowed: 51 (3.40/game)

Grey Pants
Games: 10
Record: 6-4
Runs Scored: 39 (3.90/game)
Runs Allowed: 42 (4.20/game)

When Josh Johnson Starts
Games: 6
Record: 4-2
Runs Scored: 29 (4.83/game)
Runs Allowed: 15 (2.50/game)

When Ricky Nolasco Starts
Games: 5
Record: 4-1
Runs Scored: 25 (5.00/game)
Runs Allowed: 18 (3.60/game)

When Javier Vazquez Starts
Games: 5
Record: 3-2
Runs Scored: 21 (4.20/game)
Runs Allowed: 26 (5.20/game)

When Anibal Sanchez Starts
Games: 5
Record: 2-3
Runs Scored: 14 (2.80/game)
Runs Allowed: 18 (3.60/game)

When Chris Volstad Starts
Games: 4
Record: 3-1
Runs Scored: 20 (5.00/game)
Runs Allowed: 16 (4.00/game)

Home Games
Games: 15
Record: 10-5
Runs Scored: 70 (4.67/game)
Runs Allowed:

Away Games
Games: 10
Record: 6-4
Runs Scored: 39 (3.90/game)
Runs Allowed: 42 (4.20/game)

Black Hat-White Jersey-White Pants
Games: 15
Record: 10-5
Runs Scored: 70 (4.67/game)
Runs Allowed: 51 (3.40/game)

Black Hat-Black Jersey-Grey Pants
Games: 8
Record: 5-3
Runs Scored: 33 (4.13/game)
Runs Allowed: 36 (4.50/game)

Black Hat-Grey Jersey-Grey Pants
Games: 2
Record: 1-1
Runs Scored: 6 (3.00/game)
Runs Allowed: 6 (3.00/game)

So those are the stats I've compiled over the first month (25 of 162 games) of the regular season. Yes there is a lot of overlapping data, but that happens when you look at the individual elements and the big picture at the same time. Now it's extremely early in the season, so I'm not going to get too up or down based on these results. However there are a few trends that are starting to show up. As more data is inputted as the season rolls along, we'll see if those trends continue. After 25 games and the month of April, the Marlins are in second place only 1.5 games behind the heavily favored Philadelphia Phillies. So in a (very simple) nutshell, this whole thing proves is that the Marlins are kicking ass at home, are getting outscored by an average of .30 runs per game on the road (and still have a winning record!), and that I have way too much free time. Go Marlins!

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